Hardcover, 230 pages
English language
Published March 11, 2007 by Columbia University Press.
why environmental scientists can't predict the future
Hardcover, 230 pages
English language
Published March 11, 2007 by Columbia University Press.
"The book offers fascinating case studies depicting how the seductiveness of quantitative models has led to unmanageable nuclear waste disposal practices, poisoned mining sites, unjustifiable faith in predicted sea level rise rates, bad predictions of future shoreline erosion rates, overoptimistic cost estimates of artificial beaches, and a host of other thorny problems. The authors demonstrate how many modelers have been reckless, employing fudge factors to assure "correct" answers and caring little if their models actually worked."--BOOK JACKET