DaveNash3 reviewed Shattered by Jonathan Allen
Review of 'Shattered' on 'Storygraph'
4 stars
Very much a pulp-politico but that doesn't mean its not an addictive read for political junkies and those searching for meaning in the 2016 election results.
Uninspiring campaign speeches like HRC’s kickoff on Roosevelt Island and DNC acceptance speech serve as microcosm of the flaws in her campaign. The speeches had too many cooks in the kitchen, too long on policy details and too short on vision, and tried too hard for the headlining sound bite. Reaching for that bite perpetuated her phony image. People get vision, but not policy details. Too many layers of consultants and managers and fiefdoms is exactly what kills big government and big business.
Her manager over-emphasized data. HRC took a beating because Bernie hung in the primary all the way to the convention. The data was right: the laser focus on super-delegates gave Clinton an insurmountable advantage as early as March 15. The data …
Very much a pulp-politico but that doesn't mean its not an addictive read for political junkies and those searching for meaning in the 2016 election results.
Uninspiring campaign speeches like HRC’s kickoff on Roosevelt Island and DNC acceptance speech serve as microcosm of the flaws in her campaign. The speeches had too many cooks in the kitchen, too long on policy details and too short on vision, and tried too hard for the headlining sound bite. Reaching for that bite perpetuated her phony image. People get vision, but not policy details. Too many layers of consultants and managers and fiefdoms is exactly what kills big government and big business.
Her manager over-emphasized data. HRC took a beating because Bernie hung in the primary all the way to the convention. The data was right: the laser focus on super-delegates gave Clinton an insurmountable advantage as early as March 15. The data missed the story: Bernie scored media victories every time he won a state, every time he held a packed rally of Bernie Bros.
The data was against ground games. The data supported not spending money. The data backed the irony - no other candidate raised as much money or was so tightfisted with it. You can’t take the money with you, but Presidents live on forever. HRC's inability to see the forest for the trees is a recurring theme.
The 2016 lesson should be – run a candidate with a clear vision, who connects to voters, and who has a pitch besides “I’m not Trump”. Voter turnout is the most difficult metric to predict and the Achilles heel to data models. Unexpected voter turnout levels kills the predictions. As Nat Silver finds in The Signal and The Noise, the best in any game use a hybrid quantitative and qualitative approach. And Silver predicted the Trump victory.